Would you gamble your yearly salary on a coin flip? Often times we bet larger sums of our companies’ money without even knowing we have such slim odds. Let science save the day! See how empiricism helps us with a practical example of advanced forecasting tools provide better visibility into not just when but also how certain we can be about when we’ll be done. We are not done when an increment is delivered to the market. We need to know how much value was delivered and if it met our expectations. In other words we need a feedback loop after delivery occurs. Without this confirmation it is like driving with your eyes closed. You are going to get somewhere, but probably not the place you want to be.